Woonsocket, Rhode Island 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

889
FXUS61 KBOX 020651
AFDBOX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
251 AM EDT Mon Jun 2 2025

.SYNOPSIS...

Tranquil weather today with temperatures rebounding back toward
seasonable levels. Quiet and warm stretch of weather through late
week, a few locations could approach the lower 90s. A pop-up shower
or storm is possible Thursday afternoon, a better chance for storms
and showers late Friday or early Saturday with a cold front passage.
Temperatures trend seasonable next weekend.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...

Key Messages:

* Dry, mostly sunny, and warmer.

With the arrival of meteorological summer comes a much improved
stretch of weather starting today, though it will still be a
transition day. This is because the mid level trough continues to be
very slow to move off. The trough will act on some moisture around
800 mb and lead to widespread diurnal cumulus clouds mixing with our
sunny skies. We`ll begin a steady warm up as well, with 850 mb temps
rising to +6C which should lead to highs today in the low to mid
70s. The only exception will be in south coast and Cape Cod where
onshore flow keeps temps in the 60s. Tonight proper high pressure
moves overhead allowing the boundary layer to decouple, so a combo
of calm wind and clear skies may allow temps to dip a bit more in
the spots that typically radiate well; generally looking at lows in
the mid 40s to low 50s.


&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY/...

Key Messages:

* Dry and warmer.

The warm up continues as mid level ridging arrives pushing 850 mb
temps up to 10-11C as heights are on the rise. This will translate
to high temperatures in the afternoon in the upper 70s and low 80s.
The warmest spot will be the Connecticut Valley where light
downslope flow will exacerbate warming a bit while the coolest spot
will again be the Cape and islands.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...

Key Messages:

* Taste of summer with rising temperatures and increasing humidity.

* Moderate risk of heat-related impacts Wednesday through Friday.

* A pop-up shower or storm is possible Thursday afternoon, a better
  chance for storms and showers late Friday or early Saturday with a
  cold front passage.

* Temperatures trend seasonable for next weekend.

No significant changes, those seeking summer weather will enjoy this
upcoming week! Ridge of high pressure settles in transporting a much
warmer air mass into southern New England. 850mb temperatures soar
during the mid and late week, and are between +16C and +19C! BUFKIT
continues to indicate a well-mixed boundary layer, able to tap into
those warmer conditions Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday. Not to go
out of order, but Thursday is likely to be the warmest day as highs
away from the coast top out in the upper 80s to lower 90s. Places
like the immediate coast, Cape Cod, and islands remain in the upper
70s to lower 80s. In addition, dewpoints are well in the low 60s so
it will feel humid as well. Wednesday and Friday are similar, cooler
than Thursday, but still plenty warm! Highs away from the coast are
in the middle and upper 80s on Wednesday and Friday! Cannot rule out
a few areas nearing the 90 degree mark, Merrimack Valley and lower
Connecticut River Valley. Coastal areas, Cape Cod, and islands are
in the lower to middle 70s. There will be little nighttime relief
Wednesday and Thursday night, nighttime low are in the low to middle
60s. A cold front late week brings relief, but uncertainty with the
timing remains. Heading towards the weekend do expect temperatures
to lower, but will still be seasonably warm in the upper 70s and
lower 80s.

This is supported by NBM (QMD) with probabilities of 90F or greater
on Wednesday and Friday are between 40% and 60% for the Connecticut
River Valley, Merrimack Valley and Metro Boston. On Thursday, those
values increase to 85% and higher. Even further south, cities like
Taunton and Providence have values 60% to 75% of high temperature on
Thursday exceeding 90F. At this time the NWS HeatRisk map indicates
a large swath of southern New England under moderate category, this
level of heat affects most individuals sensitive to heat, especially
those without effective cooling and/or adequate hydration. Impacts
possible in some health systems and in heat-sensitive industries.

Next chance for pop-up showers will be Thursday, with greater chance
of showers and thunderstorms with a cold front late in the week. For
now, the front looks to come late Friday or Saturday. With the heat
and humidity, there should be a fair amount of SBCAPE, GFS shows
values in the neighborhood of ~1500 J/kg, but not much shear. CIPS
and CSU machine-learning have lower probabilities for Thursday and
Friday for severe weather, less than 15% on Thursday, and then less
than 30% on Friday. Depending on the evolution of the front, could
lead to unsettled conditions spilling over to Saturday. Will need to
monitor this closely given the amount of outdoor events.

Thankfully there is pounds of time for changes and to monitor this
part of the forecast, believe me, this forecaster is also tried of
the rainy weekend vibe that we`ve come accustom to here in southern
New England.

&&

.AVIATION /07Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

06z TAF Update:

Today: High confidence.

VFR. W/SW winds 5 to 10 kts. Localized sea breezes could develop
along the east coast but more than likely that they don`t.

Tonight: High Confidence

VFR. Light and variable winds.

Tuesday: High Confidence.

VFR. Light and variable winds.

BOS TAF...High confidence in TAF.

BDL TAF...High confidence in TAF.

VFR. SW winds at 5-10 knots.

Outlook /Tuesday Night through Friday/...

Tuesday Night through Wednesday Night: VFR.

Thursday through Thursday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA,
isolated TSRA.

Friday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. Chance SHRA,
isolated TSRA.

&&

.MARINE...
Forecaster Confidence Levels:

Low - less than 30 percent.
Medium - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.

Tranquil boating conditions expected today through Tuesday with
west/southwest winds 10-15 kt and seas 3 ft or less all waters.

Outlook /Tuesday Night through Friday/...

Tuesday Night through Thursday: Winds less than 25 kt.

Thursday Night through Friday: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas
locally approaching 5 ft. Slight chance of rain showers.

&&

.BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
MA...None.
RI...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...BW/Dooley
NEAR TERM...BW
SHORT TERM...BW
LONG TERM...Dooley
AVIATION...BW/Dooley
MARINE...BW/Dooley